Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.108359 0.116206 0.124329 0.133369 0.143155 0.153436 0.165062
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.093854 0.105166 0.117461 0.131842 0.148235 0.166377 0.188023
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.083608 0.096447 0.110862 0.128297 0.148878 0.172478 0.201705
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.078852 0.093180 0.109708 0.130265 0.155259 0.184800 0.222566
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.073094 0.088130 0.105873 0.128467 0.156633 0.190793 0.235672
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068494 0.084068 0.102819 0.127204 0.158292 0.196882 0.248851
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063657 0.079364 0.098614 0.124117 0.157285 0.199321 0.257203
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060200 0.076160 0.096046 0.122859 0.158392 0.204319 0.268913
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057634 0.073927 0.094549 0.122819 0.160961 0.211197 0.283304
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.054594 0.070907 0.091847 0.120991 0.160958 0.214512 0.292833
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.052208 0.068620 0.089978 0.120134 0.162147 0.219389 0.304638
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051543 0.068588 0.091083 0.123327 0.168993 0.232309 0.328422
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049328 0.066389 0.089198 0.122352 0.170027 0.237210 0.341032
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047109 0.064094 0.087084 0.120951 0.170371 0.241115 0.352351
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044453 0.061071 0.083818 0.117733 0.167886 0.240708 0.357033
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043596 0.060544 0.084030 0.119520 0.172784 0.251366 0.379137
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041735 0.058501 0.081986 0.117888 0.172470 0.254122 0.388964
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040141 0.056779 0.080328 0.116741 0.172802 0.257822 0.400392
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038165 0.054423 0.077652 0.113938 0.170443 0.257202 0.404721
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036776 0.052882 0.076116 0.112795 0.170589 0.260469 0.415520
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035770 0.051873 0.075329 0.112759 0.172446 0.266494 0.431156
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034386 0.050245 0.073550 0.111098 0.171626 0.268135 0.439392
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.033304 0.049038 0.072366 0.110320 0.172177 0.272001 0.451589